Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.9#9
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#15
Pace78.2#9
Improvement-3.2#306

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#9
Improvement+0.7#145

Defense
Total Defense+8.5#9
Improvement-3.9#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 6.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 96.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round90.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen62.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight27.9% n/a n/a
Final Four12.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.2% n/a n/a
National Champion1.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 132   NC Central W 76-60 94%     1 - 0 +15.3 -0.4 -0.4
  Nov 16, 2014 182   Robert Morris W 103-59 96%     2 - 0 +39.9 -2.0 -2.0
  Nov 22, 2014 30   Davidson W 90-72 71%     3 - 0 +29.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Nov 26, 2014 20   Butler L 66-74 65%     3 - 1 +5.1 +6.5 +6.5
  Nov 27, 2014 40   UCLA W 78-56 74%     4 - 1 +32.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Nov 28, 2014 39   Florida W 75-64 74%     5 - 1 +21.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Dec 03, 2014 22   Iowa L 55-60 74%     5 - 2 +5.1 +5.1 +5.1
  Dec 07, 2014 206   East Carolina W 108-64 97%     6 - 2 +38.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Dec 13, 2014 1   @ Kentucky L 70-84 17%     6 - 3 +13.1 +13.6 +13.6
  Dec 16, 2014 275   @ UNC Greensboro W 79-56 96%     7 - 3 +19.9 -1.6 -1.6
  Dec 20, 2014 15   Ohio St. W 82-74 58%     8 - 3 +22.9 +7.4 +7.4
  Dec 27, 2014 129   UAB W 89-58 94%     9 - 3 +30.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Dec 30, 2014 120   William & Mary W 86-64 93%     10 - 3 +22.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 03, 2015 77   @ Clemson W 74-50 77%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +33.1 +4.5 +4.5
  Jan 05, 2015 10   Notre Dame L 70-71 62%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +12.7 +6.9 +6.9
  Jan 10, 2015 16   Louisville W 72-71 70%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +12.5 +5.7 +5.7
  Jan 14, 2015 32   @ North Carolina St. W 81-79 61%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +16.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Jan 18, 2015 159   Virginia Tech W 68-53 96%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +12.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 21, 2015 117   @ Wake Forest W 87-71 84%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +22.1 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 24, 2015 82   Florida St. W 78-74 90%     16 - 4 6 - 1 +6.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 26, 2015 56   Syracuse W 93-83 85%     17 - 4 7 - 1 +15.9 +3.0 +3.0
  Jan 31, 2015 16   @ Louisville L 68-78 OT 49%     17 - 5 7 - 2 +7.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Feb 02, 2015 6   Virginia L 64-75 52%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +5.5 +8.2 +8.2
  Feb 07, 2015 91   @ Boston College W 79-68 81%     18 - 6 8 - 3 +18.7 +3.8 +3.8
  Feb 14, 2015 73   @ Pittsburgh L 76-89 77%     18 - 7 8 - 4 -3.6 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 18, 2015 5   @ Duke L 90-92 OT 29%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +20.7 +11.3 +11.3
  Feb 21, 2015 85   Georgia Tech W 89-60 90%     19 - 8 9 - 5 +31.7 +1.3 +1.3
  Feb 24, 2015 32   North Carolina St. L 46-58 80%     19 - 9 9 - 6 -3.8 +4.1 +4.1
  Feb 28, 2015 41   @ Miami (FL) W 73-64 66%     20 - 9 10 - 6 +21.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 03, 2015 85   @ Georgia Tech W 81-49 79%     21 - 9 11 - 6 +40.5 +4.2 +4.2
  Mar 07, 2015 5   Duke L 77-84 50%     21 - 10 11 - 7 +9.9 +8.5 +8.5
  Mar 11, 2015 91   Boston College W 81-63 87%     22 - 10 +22.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Mar 12, 2015 16   Louisville W 70-60 60%     23 - 10 +24.3 +7.2 +7.2
  Mar 13, 2015 6   Virginia W 71-67 41%     24 - 10 +23.4 +9.7 +9.7
  Mar 14, 2015 10   Notre Dame L 82-90 51%     24 - 11 +8.6 +8.3 +8.3
Projected Record 24.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.4 0.4 5.6 47.5 42.6 3.8 0.1 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.4 0.4 5.6 47.5 42.6 3.8 0.1 100.0%